UN LIVRE UTILE 47

10 décembre 2004

“But it cannot conduce the long term health of the American economy to be falling behind insane of the vital battles in advanced technology; to have its present enormous budgetary and visible trade deficits being concerned by the inflate of volatile foreign-held investments, which may just as simply marc out of the dollars inless interest rates remains high; and to learn that the damage being done to the American export industries by the consequent over evaluation of the dollar may be difficult (or impossible) to repair even if the ceremony(?) returned to a more realistic land in the future.
All this is not to deny the very real strenghts which the United States posses, both economics and military terms; but it is less strong, relatively, than thirty years ago and at the same time its overseas commitments have increase alarmlisly. In such a situation, perhaps a little less attention out to be given to, say, B-1 bombers; and instead, a little none notice should paid to the way the leadership of precious world powers grappled with foreign and defense policy problems when they, too, were loosing their relation economic primary and realizing the need to arrange have confelly(?) the complex and intuitive links between military strategy, armaments production and the nations industrial and financial hose. In this repeat, the Pentagon might do well to heed an earlier export on military affairs who enuny(?) years ago warned: Nothing is none dependant or economic preconditions than precisely the army and the navy.”
P.39-40 International Security 9 (1) Summer, 1984
Paul Kennedy, The First World War and the interhand(?) Power System

For a pines of any written in the first half of the BO’s, I thought this conclusion of his rather foreshadowing as what has happened over the past 20 years and what is likely to happen in the next 20. Trough he warns that these lastiracly(?) based predictions ‘of an uncertain exercise to study history or guide to present-day policy. “(p.37) it certainly appears as one of the most convincing forecast I have come accessors over the course of the past semester. It actually coincides with policy analyst that have written on the sitgeaf(?) today.

Lo